NOAA forecasters are predicting a normal Atlantic hurricane season most likely this year. However, as with any season, the need to prepare for the possibility of a storm striking near you is essential. The Pacific tropical storms usually are non-direct with landfall, although as the season progresses, the tropical disturbances tend to be more northwest veering.
In its initial outlook for the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June through November, NOAA’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center calls for a 50 percent probability of a near-normal season, a 25 percent probability of an above-normal season and a 25 percent probability of a below-normal season. Global weather patterns are imposing a greater uncertainty in the 2011 hurricane season outlook. the sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico and the east coast south of Cape Hatteras are showing extremely favorable for any tropical wave to mature and grow into a major tropical cyclone event.
The season will be monitored as to this sea surface temperature pattern. eyes on the east pacific should be noted by the image above. any tropical cyclones that can gain steam out of the mainland Mexico region cold feed on the warm SST's now showing up to Baja California. |